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Unscientific Unempirical Totally Ridiculous but Halfway Serious CFB Predictions: SEC

In 2009, I went through all the major BCS conferences and created some semi-amusing, totally off-base and (eventually) inaccurate predictions and bowl projections for the upcoming college football season. In 2010, I was working nonstop throughout the summer without a break and never had the chance to put together some predictions. So now that I have some free time on my hands, it’s time to do some predictions – here’s the SEC.

It’ll be a case of the more recent usual suspects this year in the SEC – South Carolina will once again be tops in the East, while the Fightin’ LSU Tigers will win the West and the Conference championship game. With an undefeated record, I have LSU headed to the BCS National Championship game to take on Oklahoma.

Les Miles' LSU Tigers may be the BCS favorite in the SEC

  1. LSU 12-0 (8-0) – I was blown away by how good LSU looked in the Cotton Bowl last year. Give Jordan Jefferson another year in that offense and it could be completely explosive. New offensive coordinator Steve Kragthorpe is hated by some Louisville fans I know, but he’ll have a lot to work with. I like their defense and I think Les Miles is due for another trip to the BCS National Championship Game.
  2. Alabama 10-2 (7-1) – The Tide brings back almost their entire defense from last year, which will be terrifying for opposing offenses. However, Alabama’s offense won’t scare anyone because they have to break in a new QB – even with a ton of talent at RB, WR, and offensive line. I just don’t see the Tide winning at Penn State or at home against LSU. They’ll earn a bid to the AT&T Cotton Bowl Classic and play Texas A&M (SEC #3) since they went to the Capital One Bowl (SEC #2) last year.
  3. Arkansas 9-3 (6-2) – Love the Hogs’ Knile Davis, Ronnie Wingo, and Greg Childs on offense, but I’m concerned about having to break in three new offensive line starters as well as a new QB. The Hogs’ defense could be extremely good with seven returning starters, including leading tackler Jerry Franklin, but I don’t think Arkansas can win at LSU or Alabama. I have them finishing with three wins as I think they’re due to lose to Texas A&M in the “Southwest Classic” in October. A trip to the Chick Fil A Bowl appears to be the Hogs’ postseason destination.
  4. Ole Miss 6-6 (3-5) – This is a very funny team. From my advanced research (…Phil Steele Magazine…) it appears their defense is made up of seniors, redshirt freshmen, and junior college transfers. Offensively, they have 9 returners, including leading rusher Brandon Bolden, and the entire offensive line. I think the Rebels will finagle their way to six wins and a bowl berth – road wins at Mississippi State and Auburn will highlight the year for Ole Miss. I see them headed to the BBVA Compass Bowl.
  5. Mississippi State 7-5 (3-5) – The Bulldogs have nine returning starters on offense and seven on defense, so experience isn’t a problem with this team. I just think they’ll lack the edge they played with all of last season – close wins over Florida and Georgia and its only West Division win coming against Ole Miss just makes me think MSU will regress this year, but still pull off a bowl game. I see them headed to the Liberty Bowl.
  6. Auburn – 3-9 (0-8) – A shocking lack of talent and experience will hamper this year’s Tiger team at almost every position after seeing everyone graduate or leave for the NFL after the BCS National Championship last year. I love RB Michael Dyer but his supporting cast will probably be very weak this year.  Defensively, AU returns just one of its top seven tacklers from last year. Rebuilding season for Auburn.

East

  1. South Carolina 11-2 (7-1) – The Gamecocks have a buttload of pure talent and experience coming back, and with potentially Steve Spurrier’s most experienced team coming back in Columbia, they should have no problem winning the East. I see them dropping the SEC Championship game to LSU, but they’ll earn a trip to the Capital One Bowl and face a Big Ten team.
  2. Georgia 10-2 (7-1) – I see them going 0-2 to open the year with losses to Boise State in Atlanta and at home against South Carolina, but winning out the rest of the season. I’m not sold on their defense, but I know there’s talent there on offense. BUT, win both, or one of those games, and their season is completely different. Also, if QB Aaron Murray is as good as he was his freshman year, they could easily top the Fightin’ Spurriers in week two. Assuming that plays out, I see them headed to the Outback Bowl.
  3. Tennessee 6-6 (3-5) – I love Derek Dooley, and despite not having the sexiest team on paper, I think they’ll find their way to a bowl game again this year. A win against hated rival Florida may highlight the year for UT, as I see them headed to the Gator Bowl.
  4. Florida 6-6 (3-5) – Will Muschamp is in for a big surprise as a head coach – it’s hard. The Gators have just one returning offensive lineman, and I just see them struggling to score once again this year – even with Charlie Weis as their offensive coordinator (match made in hell?).

    Big Weis will be calling the plays on offense in Gainesville

    UF will earn a bid to the Music City Bowl.

  5. Kentucky 4-8 (1-7) – Rebuilding year, especially on offense. Their defense might be pretty good, but they’ll have no way of getting into the endzone.
  6. Vanderbilt – 1-11 (0-8) – On your third head coach in as many seasons? Good luck getting more than one win, especially when your FBS non-conference slate is UConn, Wake Forest, and Army.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

One Trackback/Pingback

  1. Latest blog posts | Brian Mortensen on Monday, July 18, 2011 at 3:03 am

    […] Unscientific Unempirical Totally Ridiculous but Halfway Serious CFB Predictions: SEC In 2009, I went through all the major BCS conferences and created some semi-amusing, totally off-base and (eventually) inaccurate predictions and bowl projections for the upcoming college football season. In 2010, I was working nonstop throughout the summer without a break and never had the chance to put together some predictions. So now that I […] […]

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